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11 1 1 1 <br /> ~ ~ 11 1 ~ I ~ 1 <br /> Oregon's Needs <br /> n September 2006, the Oregon for goods and services, shrinking <br /> Transportation Commission ad- market access and reducing business <br /> .opted the Oregon Transportation productivity. Accidents, stalled ve- <br /> Plan (OTP), capping atwo-year effort hicles, weather, work zones and other <br /> <br /> to bring the state's 25-year multimodal incidents cause about 50 percent of <br /> <br /> transportation plan up-to-date and traffic delay. <br /> make it a vital part of transportation ef- Oregon's growing population will <br /> <br /> forts around the state. The OTP covers also grow older, with 26 percent of <br /> Oregon's airports, highways and road- the population aged 60 and older by <br /> <br /> ways, bicycle and pedestrian facilities, 2030. While the state's senior citizens <br /> pipelines, ports and waterway facilities, are likely to be healthy and continue <br /> public transit, and railroads. to drive until age 85, many will out- <br /> live their ability to drive by six -ten <br /> Key findings from the OTP highlight years. <br /> <br /> the growing needs and underscore the <br /> importance of continued investment in The OTP transportation needs analysis <br /> Oregon's transportation system: found a significant gap -approximately <br /> • By 2030, freight is expected to $1.3 billion per year in 2004 dollars - <br /> increase 80 percent statewide and between current expenditures and the <br /> double in the Portland metropolitan "feasible needs" that adequately main- <br /> region (most of the increase carried tain and expand the transportation sys- <br /> by trucks), tem. "Feasible needs" refers to a level of <br /> • Oregon's population will grow by investment that maintains the system at <br /> 41 percent, increasing demand for a slightly better condition than it is cur- <br /> transportation, as well as wear and rently maintained, replaces infrastruc- <br /> tear on the existing infrastructure, ture and equipment on a reasonable life <br /> • By 2030, fuel taxes, the traditional cycle, brings facilities up to standard or <br /> means of funding highways, will lose adds capacity in a reasonable way. The <br /> 40 percent of their purchasing power. needs vary for each transportation mode <br /> • Increasing congestion will undermine or program, and complete information is <br /> the state's economic competitive- available in the OTP. <br /> Hess, lengthening the delivery time <br /> Summary of 2005 - 2030 Modal Needs and Growth Forecasts <br /> (Average 2004 dollars in millions} ~ <br /> Note: Footnote numbers match adopted OTP for consistency <br /> Forecasted Current Annual Annual <br /> Mode Annual Annual Average Gap <br /> Growth Rate Expenditures Feasible Needs <br /> Air Freight and 2.62% freight tons <br /> Passenger9 2.40% passengers <br /> Portland International $44.4 $115.3 $70.9 <br /> Airport10 <br /> Major modernize- $13.9 $15.1 $1.2 <br /> tion11 <br /> Other airports - $10.7 $47.4 $36.7 <br /> Modernization and <br /> Preservation12 <br /> Intermodal 1.35% total n/a $11.3 n/a <br /> Connectors13 highway travel <br /> v <br /> <br />